Re: PBM design and formulae - a fresh start

From: gilette@obsidian.unice.fr (Gilette Serge)

Date: Tue, 06 Jul 1993 09:44:07 +0000

In article <1993Jul6.090725.23794@galileo.cc.rochester.edu>, markiel@callisto.pas.rochester.edu (Andrew Markiel) writes:

|> Well, the number isn't that big. First of all there's only 10 distinct
|> combats (4x4 double counts 6 of them). And, only 10 of each would give

I was thinking that there were an attacker and a defender.

|> me a good estimate of the probablilities; 20 or 30 would nail it down
|> rather closely. So that's on the order of 100; not excessive.
|>
|> >So i doubt it's possible to made such a study during a game, as it's in
|> >real-life (as circumstances aren't ever the same twice), and hence i'm
|> There is an excellent point here. In real life, circumstances are
|> never the same, because there are always certain small random
|> effects that change the result. In a computer moderated game, however,
|> the circumstances *are* the same: every time you put the same numbers

I had in my mind game with a random factor, as most game have. I know very few
boardgame/computer game without any random factor. And also to test 30 times
a combat you have to make it exactly 30 times the same : same units, same terrain,
same overall conditions... that's why i think it's not possible in a game
to make a statistical analysis.

|> into the formula, you get the same result out. Thus, by observing
|> long enough a player can *exactly* determine the formula. This may
|> be difficult if the formula is complicated, but in theory can be
|> done perfectly.

Serge Gilette   | email  : gilette@obsidian.unice.fr
University of   | phone  : 92.94.26.41 (not a gren number)
   Nice         | GODNET : gilette@obsidian.france.earth.universe
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References

Re: PBM design and formulae - a fresh start
gilette@obsidian.unice.fr (Gilette Serge)
Mon, 05 Jul 1993 09:04:28 +0000
Re: PBM design and formulae - a fresh start
markiel@callisto.pas.rochester.edu (Andrew Markiel)
Tue, 06 Jul 1993 09:07:25 +0000
PBM design and formulae - a summary
rob@ccc.govt.nz (Rob McNeur)
Mon, 28 Jun 1993 09:53:02 +0000
PBM design and formulae - a fresh start
gym@dcs.ed.ac.uk (Graham Matthews)
Fri, 02 Jul 1993 12:01:01 +0000